US stock / ETF

Expand Energy Corporation

EXE · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish82%
Weekly Downside probability 82%Bearish

EXE 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $97.78 and stabilize above resistance $126.6.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $126.6 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 36.2, MACD -1.371

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $5.63 (6.37%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$92.03Bearish
EMA 21$97.78Bearish
EMA 50$101.31Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 36.2 · MACD -1.371

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5.63 · BB 29.66%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 31.9 · OBV 4.50%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$86.42 - $126.6

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+49.52% · 7.8 ATR above latest close

$132.23
Nearest resistance

+43.16% · 6.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$126.6
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$88.44
Nearest support

-2.28% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$86.42
Deeper support zone

-8.65% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$80.79
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$82.8 - $94.07

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $93.77, invalidation $102.95

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.3 / 16.3 / 28.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$75.16Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$97.64 / $106.51Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$5.63 (6.37%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 29.66%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$106.83 / $88.14Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$82.8 / $94.07Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$126.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$86.42Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.371Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.1 / 5.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-121.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

4.50%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.86xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $93.77, invalidation $102.95

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.3 / 16.3 / 28.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$75.16Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$97.64 / $106.51Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.371Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.1 / 5.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-121.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$5.63 (6.37%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 29.66%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$106.83 / $88.14Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$82.8 / $94.07Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

4.50%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.86xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$126.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$86.42Range

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