US stock / ETF

Expand Energy Corporation

EXE · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish85%
Weekly Downside probability 85%Bearish

EXE 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $95.51 and stabilize above resistance $126.62.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $126.62 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.8, MACD -0.783

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $4.93 (5.59%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$90.17Bearish
EMA 21$95.51Bearish
EMA 50$99.89Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.8 · MACD -0.783

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.93 · BB 31.12%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 38.2 · OBV 12.79%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$84.99 - $126.62

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+49.27% · 8.8 ATR above latest close

$131.55
Nearest resistance

+43.67% · 7.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$126.62
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$88.13
Nearest support

-3.57% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$84.99
Deeper support zone

-9.16% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

$80.06
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$83.2 - $93.06

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $86.37, invalidation $93.01

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.4 / 16.5 / 25.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$74.14Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$96.43 / $105.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.93 (5.59%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 31.12%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$104.38 / $86.01Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$83.2 / $93.06Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$126.62Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$84.99Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.783Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.5 / 14.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-99.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

12.79%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.13xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $86.37, invalidation $93.01

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.4 / 16.5 / 25.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$74.14Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$96.43 / $105.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.783Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.5 / 14.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-99.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.93 (5.59%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 31.12%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$104.38 / $86.01Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$83.2 / $93.06Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

12.79%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.13xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$126.62Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$84.99Range

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