US stock / ETF

Expand Energy Corporation

EXE · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish80%
Monthly Downside probability 80%Bearish

EXE 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $100.88 and stabilize above resistance $126.6.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $126.6 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.8, MACD -2.922

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $14.57 (16.48%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$100.84Bearish
EMA 21$100.88Bearish
EMA 50$91.59Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.8 · MACD -2.922

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $14.57 · BB 30.92%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 44.2 · OBV -17.85%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$69.34 - $126.6

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+59.63% · 3.6 ATR above latest close

$141.17
Nearest resistance

+43.16% · 2.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$126.6
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$88.44
Nearest support

-21.59% · 1.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$69.34
Deeper support zone

-38.07% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

$54.77
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$73.86 - $103.01

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $91.38, invalidation $114.78

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.0 / 17.1 / 22.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$47.85Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$102.24 / $97.97Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$14.57 (16.48%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 30.92%

-2%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$129.46 / $72.84Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$73.86 / $103.01Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$126.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$69.34Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.922Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.0 / 13.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-177.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-17.85%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.98xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $91.38, invalidation $114.78

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.0 / 17.1 / 22.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$47.85Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$102.24 / $97.97Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.922Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.0 / 13.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-177.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$14.57 (16.48%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 30.92%

-2%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$129.46 / $72.84Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$73.86 / $103.01Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-17.85%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.98xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$126.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$69.34Range

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