US stock / ETF

Dow Inc.

DOW · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

DOW 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $30.84 and stabilize above resistance $33.33.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $33.33 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.6, MACD -0.093

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.3871 (1.28%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$30.39Bearish
EMA 21$30.84Bearish
EMA 50$30.98Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.6 · MACD -0.093

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.3871 · BB 13.07%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 26.8 · OBV -19.97%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$29.81 - $33.33

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.15% · 8.7 ATR above latest close

$33.71
Nearest resistance

+9.87% · 7.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$33.33
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$30.33
Nearest support

-1.71% · 1.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$29.81
Deeper support zone

-2.99% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

$29.42
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$29.94 - $30.72

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $30.6, invalidation $29.96

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

51.7 / 7.5 / 40.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$29.28Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$30.89 / $31.57Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.3871 (1.28%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.07%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$31.51 / $30.12Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$29.94 / $30.72Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$33.33Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$29.81Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.093Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.2 / 21.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-60.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-19.97%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.90xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $30.6, invalidation $29.96

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

51.7 / 7.5 / 40.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$29.28Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$30.89 / $31.57Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.093Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.2 / 21.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-60.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.3871 (1.28%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.07%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$31.51 / $30.12Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$29.94 / $30.72Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-19.97%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.90xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$33.33Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$29.81Range

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