US stock / ETF

Dow Inc.

DOW · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish88%
4h Downside probability 88%Bearish

DOW 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $31.02 and stabilize above resistance $36.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $36 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 27.3, MACD -0.161

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $0.7475 (2.59%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$29.59Bearish
EMA 21$31.02Bearish
EMA 50$33.03Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 27.3 · MACD -0.161

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.7475 · BB 22.11%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 8.2 · OBV -5.94%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$28.45 - $36

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+27.33% · 10.6 ATR above latest close

$36.75
Nearest resistance

+24.74% · 9.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$36
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$28.86
Nearest support

-1.42% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$28.45
Deeper support zone

-4.01% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$27.7
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$28.11 - $29.61

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $28.45, invalidation $33.98

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

44.9 / 12.2 / 44.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$26.95Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$31.02 / $33.17Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.7475 (2.59%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 22.11%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$32.31 / $29.55Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$28.11 / $29.61Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$36Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$28.45Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

27.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.161Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.4 / 12.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-101.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

8.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.94%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.38xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $28.45, invalidation $33.98

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

44.9 / 12.2 / 44.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$26.95Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$31.02 / $33.17Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

27.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.161Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.4 / 12.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-101.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.7475 (2.59%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 22.11%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$32.31 / $29.55Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$28.11 / $29.61Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

8.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.94%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.38xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$36Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$28.45Range

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