Cryptocurrency

Polkadot / TetherUS

DOTUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish90%
4h Downside probability 90%Bearish

DOTUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $0.9200 and stabilize above resistance $0.9790.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $0.9790 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 25.4, MACD -0.005

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $0.02200 (2.53%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$0.8953Bearish
EMA 21$0.9200Bearish
EMA 50$0.9462Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 25.4 · MACD -0.005

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.02200 · BB 13.40%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 20.2 · OBV -37.70%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$0.8420 - $0.9790

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+15.32% · 6.0 ATR above latest close

$1
Nearest resistance

+12.79% · 5.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$0.9790
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$0.8680
Nearest support

-3% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$0.8420
Deeper support zone

-5.53% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$0.8200
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$0.8460 - $0.8900

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $0.8830, invalidation $0.9200

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.4 / 7.8 / 43.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$0.7936Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$0.8958 / $0.9425Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.02200 (2.53%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.40%

3%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$0.9651 / $0.8719Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$0.8460 / $0.8900Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$0.9790Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$0.8420Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

25.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.005Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.0 / 16.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-149.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

20.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-37.70%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.70xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $0.8830, invalidation $0.9200

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.4 / 7.8 / 43.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$0.7936Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$0.8958 / $0.9425Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

25.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.005Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.0 / 16.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-149.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.02200 (2.53%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.40%

3%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$0.9651 / $0.8719Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$0.8460 / $0.8900Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

20.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-37.70%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.70xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$0.9790Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$0.8420Range

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