Cryptocurrency

Polkadot / TetherUS

DOTUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish87%
4h Downside probability 87%Bearish

DOTUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 1.06 and stabilize above resistance 1.28.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 1.28 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 35.9, MACD -0.012

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is 0.0298 (2.95%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 81.03Bearish
EMA 211.06Bearish
EMA 501.04Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 35.9 · MACD -0.012

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 0.0298 · BB 13.64%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 33.2 · OBV -54.63%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
0.9730 - 1.28

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+30.21% · 10.2 ATR above latest close

1.31
Nearest resistance

+27.25% · 9.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

1.28
Current price

Price shown is delayed

1.01
Nearest support

-3.57% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

0.9730
Deeper support zone

-6.52% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

0.9432
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

0.9792 - 1.04

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 1.03, invalidation 1.16

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

34.3 / 14.1 / 29.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

0.9420Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

1.09 / 1.06Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

0.0298 (2.95%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.64%

7%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

1.11 / 1.01Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.9792 / 1.04Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

1.28Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.9730Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.012Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.6 / 2.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-99.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-124.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 11Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-54.63%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.47xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 1.03, invalidation 1.16

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

34.3 / 14.1 / 29.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

0.9420Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

1.09 / 1.06Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.012Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.6 / 2.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-99.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-124.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 11Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

0.0298 (2.95%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.64%

7%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

1.11 / 1.01Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.9792 / 1.04Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-54.63%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.47xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

1.28Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.9730Range

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