Cryptocurrency

Polkadot / TetherUS

DOTUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish63%
4h Downside probability 63%Bearish

DOTUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 1.14 and stabilize above resistance 1.2.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 1.2 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.6, MACD -0.001

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is 0.0356 (3.17%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 81.14Bearish
EMA 211.14Bearish
EMA 501.15Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.6 · MACD -0.001

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 0.0356 · BB 8.49%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 47.3 · OBV -12.24%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
1.05 - 1.2

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.29% · 3.2 ATR above latest close

1.24
Nearest resistance

+7.12% · 2.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

1.2
Current price

Price shown is delayed

1.12
Nearest support

-6.86% · 2.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

1.05
Deeper support zone

-10.02% · 3.2 ATR below latest close

1.01
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

1.09 - 1.16

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 1.2, invalidation 1.1

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.1 / 21.9 / 23.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

1.02Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

1.15 / 1.13Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

21%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

0.0356 (3.17%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.49%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

1.22 / 1.07Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

1.09 / 1.16Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

1.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

1.05Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.001Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.8 / 40.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-86.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.24%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.33xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 1.2, invalidation 1.1

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.1 / 21.9 / 23.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

1.02Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

1.15 / 1.13Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

21%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.001Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.8 / 40.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-86.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

0.0356 (3.17%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.49%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

1.22 / 1.07Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

1.09 / 1.16Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.24%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.33xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

1.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

1.05Range

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