US stock / ETF

D.R. Horton Inc.

DHI · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish58%
4h Downside probability 58%Bearish

DHI 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $148.76 and stabilize above resistance $154.15.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $154.15 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.0, MACD -0.075

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $2.41 (1.62%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$148.88Bearish
EMA 21$148.76Bearish
EMA 50$148.46Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.0 · MACD -0.075

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.41 · BB 4.52%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 29.3 · OBV -3.19%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$145 - $154.15

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.53% · 3.4 ATR above latest close

$156.56
Nearest resistance

+3.91% · 2.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$154.15
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$148.35
Nearest support

-2.26% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$145
Deeper support zone

-3.88% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$142.59
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$145.94 - $150.76

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $154.15, invalidation $146.49

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.1 / 31.1 / 26.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$140.26Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$149.95 / $149.35Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.41 (1.62%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.52%

44%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$154.17 / $143.38Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$145.94 / $150.76Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$154.15Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$145Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.075Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

36.6 / 41.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-63.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-18.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.19%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.09xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $154.15, invalidation $146.49

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.1 / 31.1 / 26.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$140.26Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$149.95 / $149.35Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.075Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

36.6 / 41.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-63.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-18.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.41 (1.62%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.52%

44%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$154.17 / $143.38Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$145.94 / $150.76Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.19%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.09xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$154.15Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$145Range

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