US stock / ETF

Bank of New York Mellon Corporation

BNY · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish91%
4h Downside probability 91%Bearish

BNY 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $157.24 and stabilize above resistance $165.83.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $165.83 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.6, MACD -0.384

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $2.5 (1.62%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$154.57Bearish
EMA 21$157.24Bearish
EMA 50$159.6Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.6 · MACD -0.384

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.5 · BB 10.32%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 21.0 · OBV 2.11%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$151.93 - $165.83

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+9.3% · 5.7 ATR above latest close

$168.32
Nearest resistance

+7.68% · 4.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$165.83
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$154
Nearest support

-1.34% · 0.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$151.93
Deeper support zone

-2.96% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$149.43
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$151.5 - $156.49

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $152.36, invalidation $156.02

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.1 / 10.4 / 42.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$146.15Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$156.83 / $158.88Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.5 (1.62%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.32%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$162.22 / $151.94Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$151.5 / $156.49Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$165.83Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$151.93Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.384Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.2 / 16.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-80.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.11%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.70xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $152.36, invalidation $156.02

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.1 / 10.4 / 42.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$146.15Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$156.83 / $158.88Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.384Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.2 / 16.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-80.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.5 (1.62%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.32%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$162.22 / $151.94Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$151.5 / $156.49Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.11%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.70xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$165.83Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$151.93Range

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