US stock / ETF

Bilibili Inc.

BILI · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish84%
4h Downside probability 84%Bearish

BILI 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $13.76 and stabilize above resistance $15.3.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $15.3 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.6, MACD 0.023

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.2005 (1.48%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$13.55Bearish
EMA 21$13.76Bearish
EMA 50$14.17Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.6 · MACD 0.023

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.2005 · BB 7.69%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 48.1 · OBV -12.19%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$13.15 - $15.3

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+14.44% · 9.8 ATR above latest close

$15.5
Nearest resistance

+12.96% · 8.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$15.3
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$13.55
Nearest support

-2.92% · 2.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$13.15
Deeper support zone

-4.4% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

$12.95
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$13.34 - $13.75

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $14.21, invalidation $13.29

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

51.0 / 17.8 / 33.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$12.88Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$13.64 / $14.42Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.2005 (1.48%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.69%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$14.19 / $13.3Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$13.34 / $13.75Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$15.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$13.15Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.023Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

45.4 / 46.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-54.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-50.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.19%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.39xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $14.21, invalidation $13.29

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

51.0 / 17.8 / 33.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$12.88Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$13.64 / $14.42Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.023Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

45.4 / 46.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-54.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-50.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.2005 (1.48%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.69%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$14.19 / $13.3Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$13.34 / $13.75Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.19%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.39xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$15.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$13.15Range

Related Forecasts