US stock / ETF

Bilibili Inc.

BILI · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish60%
4h Downside probability 60%Bearish

BILI 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $17.12 and stabilize above resistance $18.22.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $18.22 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 45.4, MACD 0.057

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.2155 (1.26%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$17.02Bullish
EMA 21$17.12Bearish
EMA 50$17.49Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.4 · MACD 0.057

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $0.2155 · BB 5.55%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 61.9 · OBV 1.27%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$16.49 - $18.22

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.18% · 6.5 ATR above latest close

$18.43
Nearest resistance

+6.92% · 5.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$18.22
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$17.04
Nearest support

-3.23% · 2.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$16.49
Deeper support zone

-4.49% · 3.6 ATR below latest close

$16.27
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$16.82 - $17.26

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $16.49, invalidation $17.26

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.2 / 29.2 / 28.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$16.35Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$16.95 / $17.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

57%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.2155 (1.26%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.55%

48%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$17.58 / $16.64Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$16.82 / $17.26Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$18.22Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$16.49Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.057Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

64.0 / 74.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-36.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

0.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.27%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.51xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $16.49, invalidation $17.26

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.2 / 29.2 / 28.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$16.35Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$16.95 / $17.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

57%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.057Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

64.0 / 74.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-36.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

0.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.2155 (1.26%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.55%

48%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$17.58 / $16.64Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$16.82 / $17.26Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.27%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.51xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$18.22Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$16.49Range

Related Forecasts