US stock / ETF

Bilibili Inc.

BILI · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

BILI 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $17.12 and stabilize above resistance $19.16.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $19.16 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.9, MACD -0.070

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $0.3686 (2.24%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$16.63Bearish
EMA 21$17.12Bearish
EMA 50$18.01Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.9 · MACD -0.070

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.3686 · BB 15.44%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 30.1 · OBV -6.45%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$15.85 - $19.16

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+18.4% · 8.2 ATR above latest close

$19.52
Nearest resistance

+16.16% · 7.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$19.16
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$16.49
Nearest support

-3.88% · 1.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$15.85
Deeper support zone

-6.12% · 2.7 ATR below latest close

$15.48
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$16.12 - $16.86

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $15.85, invalidation $17.75

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.9 / 27.4 / 47.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$15.49Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$16.92 / $17.96Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.3686 (2.24%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.44%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$17.84 / $16.34Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$16.12 / $16.86Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$19.16Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$15.85Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.070Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.8 / 23.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-89.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.45%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.44xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $15.85, invalidation $17.75

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.9 / 27.4 / 47.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$15.49Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$16.92 / $17.96Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.070Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.8 / 23.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-89.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.3686 (2.24%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.44%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$17.84 / $16.34Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$16.12 / $16.86Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.45%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.44xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$19.16Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$15.85Range

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