US stock / ETF

Bilibili Inc.

BILI · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish85%
4h Downside probability 85%Bearish

BILI 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $14.81 and stabilize above resistance $15.36.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $15.36 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.0, MACD -0.057

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.1818 (1.25%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$14.63Bearish
EMA 21$14.81Bearish
EMA 50$15.01Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.0 · MACD -0.057

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.1818 · BB 7.36%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 39.1 · OBV -5.86%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$14.32 - $15.36

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.19% · 5.7 ATR above latest close

$15.54
Nearest resistance

+5.93% · 4.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$15.36
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$14.5
Nearest support

-1.28% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$14.32
Deeper support zone

-2.53% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$14.13
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$14.32 - $14.68

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $15.19, invalidation $14.97

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.2 / 17.5 / 31.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$13.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$14.79 / $14.89Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.1818 (1.25%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.36%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$15.17 / $14.43Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$14.32 / $14.68Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$15.36Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$14.32Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.057Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.1 / 14.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-78.9Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-136.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.86%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.92xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $15.19, invalidation $14.97

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.2 / 17.5 / 31.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$13.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$14.79 / $14.89Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.057Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.1 / 14.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-78.9Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-136.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.1818 (1.25%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.36%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$15.17 / $14.43Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$14.32 / $14.68Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.86%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.92xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$15.36Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$14.32Range

Related Forecasts