US stock / ETF

Bilibili Inc.

BILI · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBearish66%
3M Downside probability 66%Bearish

BILI 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $32.36 and stabilize above resistance $157.53.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $157.53 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.2, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $9.09 (57%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$21.33Bearish
EMA 21$32.36Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.2 · MACD --

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $9.09 · BB 212.11%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 50.8 · OBV -146.77%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$8.24 - $157.53

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+944.65% · 16.6 ATR above latest close

$166.62
Nearest resistance

+887.65% · 15.6 ATR above · 24-bar high

$157.53
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$15.95
Nearest support

-48.34% · 0.8 ATR below · 24-bar low

$8.24
Deeper support zone

-105.34% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

-$0.8521
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$6.86 - $25.04

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $36.38, invalidation $14.47

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$7.97Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$9.09 (57%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 212.11%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$51.01 / $12.78Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$6.86 / $25.04Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$157.53Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$8.24Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.9 / 48.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-44.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-146.77%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.77xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $36.38, invalidation $14.47

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$7.97Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.9 / 48.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-44.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$9.09 (57%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 212.11%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$51.01 / $12.78Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$6.86 / $25.04Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-146.77%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.77xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$157.53Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$8.24Range

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