Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin Cash / TetherUS

BCHUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish68%
4h Downside probability 68%Bearish

BCHUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 281.23 and stabilize above resistance 290.7.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 290.7 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.0, MACD -0.167

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is 5.94 (2.13%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8281.9Bearish
EMA 21281.23Bearish
EMA 50280.29Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.0 · MACD -0.167

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 5.94 · BB 6.69%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 23.8 · OBV 0.47%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
263.9 - 290.7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.44% · 3.0 ATR above latest close

296.64
Nearest resistance

+4.31% · 2.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

290.7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

278.7
Nearest support

-5.31% · 2.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

263.9
Deeper support zone

-7.44% · 3.5 ATR below latest close

257.96
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

272.76 - 284.64

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 271.9, invalidation 288.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.3 / 16.7 / 28.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

262.18Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

280.75 / 275.95Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

5.94 (2.13%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.69%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

293.38 / 269.22Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

272.76 / 284.64Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

290.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

263.9Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.167Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

37.8 / 53.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-62.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-44.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

23.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.47%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.48xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 271.9, invalidation 288.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.3 / 16.7 / 28.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

262.18Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

280.75 / 275.95Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.167Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

37.8 / 53.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-62.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-44.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

5.94 (2.13%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.69%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

293.38 / 269.22Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

272.76 / 284.64Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

23.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.47%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.48xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

290.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

263.9Range

Related Forecasts