Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin Cash / TetherUS

BCHUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish87%
4h Downside probability 87%Bearish

BCHUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 238.94 and stabilize above resistance 255.1.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 255.1 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.6, MACD -0.424

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is 4.45 (1.88%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8237.09Bearish
EMA 21238.94Bearish
EMA 50237.72Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.6 · MACD -0.424

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 4.45 · BB 7.59%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 32.5 · OBV -0.71%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
231.2 - 255.1

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+9.7% · 5.2 ATR above latest close

259.55
Nearest resistance

+7.82% · 4.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

255.1
Current price

Price shown is delayed

236.6
Nearest support

-2.28% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

231.2
Deeper support zone

-4.16% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

226.75
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

232.15 - 241.05

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 242.3, invalidation 231.2

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

43.8 / 10.9 / 28.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

224.96Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

238.75 / 242Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

4.45 (1.88%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.59%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

246.61 / 231.09Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

232.15 / 241.05Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

255.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

231.2Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.424Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

33.8 / 37.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-66.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-60.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.71%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.24xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 242.3, invalidation 231.2

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

43.8 / 10.9 / 28.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

224.96Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

238.75 / 242Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.424Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

33.8 / 37.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-66.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-60.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

4.45 (1.88%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.59%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

246.61 / 231.09Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

232.15 / 241.05Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.71%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.24xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

255.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

231.2Range

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