Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin Cash / TetherUS

BCHUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

BCHUSDT 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 357.97 and stabilize above resistance 719.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 719.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.8, MACD -29.480

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 120.27 (55.78%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8292.57Bearish
EMA 21357.97Bearish
EMA 50368.94Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.8 · MACD -29.480

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 120.27 · BB 127.13%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 25.8 · OBV 16.92%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
181 - 719.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+289.5% · 5.2 ATR above latest close

839.77
Nearest resistance

+233.72% · 4.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

719.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

215.6
Nearest support

-16.05% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

181
Deeper support zone

-71.83% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

60.73
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

95.33 - 335.87

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 181, invalidation 366.4

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.2 / 10.8 / 27.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-65.32Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

380.23 / 403.25Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

120.27 (55.78%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 127.13%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

567.6 / 144.04Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

95.33 / 335.87Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

719.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

181Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-29.480Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.1 / 18.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-104.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

16.92%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.21xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 181, invalidation 366.4

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.2 / 10.8 / 27.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-65.32Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

380.23 / 403.25Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-29.480Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.1 / 18.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-104.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

120.27 (55.78%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 127.13%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

567.6 / 144.04Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

95.33 / 335.87Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

16.92%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.21xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

719.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

181Range

Related Forecasts