US stock / ETF

Amphenol Corporation

APH · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

APH 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $77.44 and stabilize above resistance $86.02.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $86.02 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 32.1, MACD -0.347

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $1.61 (2.17%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$74.89Bearish
EMA 21$77.44Bearish
EMA 50$80.62Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 32.1 · MACD -0.347

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.61 · BB 15.81%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 20.8 · OBV -6.43%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$72.03 - $86.02

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+17.94% · 8.3 ATR above latest close

$87.63
Nearest resistance

+15.77% · 7.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$86.02
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$74.3
Nearest support

-3.06% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$72.03
Deeper support zone

-5.22% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$70.42
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$72.69 - $75.91

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $72.26, invalidation $81.38

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.4 / 15.6 / 39.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$69.63Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$76.67 / $80.99Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.61 (2.17%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.81%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$80.49 / $74.07Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$72.69 / $75.91Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$86.02Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$72.03Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.347Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.3 / 20.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-89.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

20.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.43%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.35xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $72.26, invalidation $81.38

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.4 / 15.6 / 39.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$69.63Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$76.67 / $80.99Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.347Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.3 / 20.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-89.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.61 (2.17%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.81%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$80.49 / $74.07Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$72.69 / $75.91Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

20.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.43%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.35xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$86.02Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$72.03Range

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