US stock / ETF

Aon plc

AON · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish91%
4h Downside probability 91%Bearish

AON 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $273.26 and stabilize above resistance $280.72.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $280.72 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.1, MACD 0.497

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $3.37 (1.24%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$272.21Bearish
EMA 21$273.26Bearish
EMA 50$279.81Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.1 · MACD 0.497

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.37 · BB 3.92%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 36.7 · OBV -0.09%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$266.49 - $280.72

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.56% · 3.7 ATR above latest close

$284.09
Nearest resistance

+3.32% · 2.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$280.72
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$271.71
Nearest support

-1.92% · 1.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$266.49
Deeper support zone

-3.16% · 2.5 ATR below latest close

$263.12
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$268.34 - $275.08

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $266.49, invalidation $274.47

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.1 / 13.4 / 36.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$262.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$272.75 / $282.18Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.37 (1.24%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.92%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$278.99 / $267.26Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$268.34 / $275.08Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$280.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$266.49Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.497Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

49.7 / 53.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-50.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-51.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.09%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.76xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $266.49, invalidation $274.47

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.1 / 13.4 / 36.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$262.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$272.75 / $282.18Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.497Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

49.7 / 53.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-50.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-51.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.37 (1.24%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.92%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$278.99 / $267.26Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$268.34 / $275.08Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.09%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.76xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$280.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$266.49Range

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