Cryptocurrency

Cardano / TetherUS

ADAUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

ADAUSDT 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 0.3668 and stabilize above resistance 1.33.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 1.33 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.4, MACD -0.021

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 0.1442 (66.73%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 80.2441Bearish
EMA 210.3668Bearish
EMA 500.5396Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.4 · MACD -0.021

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 0.1442 · BB 214.34%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 33.7 · OBV -15.07%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
0.1382 - 1.33

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+580.51% · 8.7 ATR above latest close

1.47
Nearest resistance

+513.79% · 7.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

1.33
Current price

Price shown is delayed

0.2161
Nearest support

-36.05% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

0.1382
Deeper support zone

-102.77% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

-0.005993
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

0.0719 - 0.3603

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.1382, invalidation 1.02

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.1 / 5.1 / 36.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

0.001770Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.4791 / 0.7323Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

0.1442 (66.73%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 214.34%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.5224 / 0.1967Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.0719 / 0.3603Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

1.33Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.1382Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.021Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.5 / 9.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-65.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-15.07%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.67xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.1382, invalidation 1.02

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.1 / 5.1 / 36.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

0.001770Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.4791 / 0.7323Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.021Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.5 / 9.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-65.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

0.1442 (66.73%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 214.34%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.5224 / 0.1967Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.0719 / 0.3603Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-15.07%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.67xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

1.33Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.1382Range

Related Forecasts