Cryptocurrency

XRP / TetherUS

XRPUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish72%
4h Downside probability 72%Bearish

XRPUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1.11 and stabilize above resistance $1.16.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1.16 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 24.1, MACD -0.005

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $0.01849 (1.74%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$1.09Bearish
EMA 21$1.11Bearish
EMA 50$1.13Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 24.1 · MACD -0.005

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.01849 · BB 9.07%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 16.3 · OBV -26.15%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$1.05 - $1.16

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.51% · 6.6 ATR above latest close

$1.18
Nearest resistance

+9.77% · 5.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1.16
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1.06
Nearest support

-1.33% · 0.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1.05
Deeper support zone

-3.07% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$1.03
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1.04 - $1.08

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1.09, invalidation $1.11

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.2 / 8.2 / 39.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1.09 / $1.15Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.01849 (1.74%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.07%

-5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1.15 / $1.07Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1.04 / $1.08Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1.16Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1.05Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

24.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.005Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.0 / 10.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-185.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 12Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

16.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-26.15%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.95xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1.09, invalidation $1.11

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.2 / 8.2 / 39.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1.09 / $1.15Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

24.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.005Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.0 / 10.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-185.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 12Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.01849 (1.74%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.07%

-5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1.15 / $1.07Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1.04 / $1.08Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

16.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-26.15%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.95xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1.16Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1.05Range

Related Forecasts