US stock / ETF

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.

SWK · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

SWK 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $92.61 and stabilize above resistance $100.85.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $100.85 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 30.1, MACD -0.409

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $1.34 (1.5%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$90.27Bearish
EMA 21$92.61Bearish
EMA 50$95.08Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 30.1 · MACD -0.409

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.34 · BB 13.61%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 22.2 · OBV -74.97%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$88.01 - $100.85

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+14.51% · 9.6 ATR above latest close

$102.19
Nearest resistance

+13.01% · 8.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$100.85
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$89.24
Nearest support

-1.38% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$88.01
Deeper support zone

-2.88% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$86.67
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$87.9 - $90.58

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $88.01, invalidation $91.05

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.3 / 13.3 / 48.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$85.26Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$92.11 / $94.71Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.34 (1.5%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.61%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$95.13 / $89.82Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$87.9 / $90.58Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$100.85Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$88.01Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

30.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.409Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.2 / 14.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-103.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

22.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-74.97%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.51xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $88.01, invalidation $91.05

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.3 / 13.3 / 48.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$85.26Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$92.11 / $94.71Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

30.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.409Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.2 / 14.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-103.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.34 (1.5%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.61%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$95.13 / $89.82Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$87.9 / $90.58Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

22.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-74.97%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.51xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$100.85Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$88.01Range

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