US stock / ETF

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.

SWK · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish58%
4h Downside probability 58%Bearish

SWK 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $114.18 and stabilize above resistance $122.48.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $122.48 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.2, MACD -0.914

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $2.14 (1.9%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$114.63Bearish
EMA 21$114.18Bearish
EMA 50$109.48Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.2 · MACD -0.914

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.14 · BB 6.09%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 44.1 · OBV -9.09%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$101.5 - $122.48

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.27% · 5.4 ATR above latest close

$124.62
Nearest resistance

+8.37% · 4.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$122.48
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$113.02
Nearest support

-10.19% · 5.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$101.5
Deeper support zone

-12.09% · 6.4 ATR below latest close

$99.36
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$110.88 - $115.16

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $116.87, invalidation $114.5

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.1 / 24.3 / 33.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$107.54Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$114.36 / $109.71Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.14 (1.9%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.09%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$118.03 / $110.58Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$110.88 / $115.16Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.48Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$101.5Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.914Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.3 / 11.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-130.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.09%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.16xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $116.87, invalidation $114.5

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.1 / 24.3 / 33.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$107.54Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$114.36 / $109.71Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.914Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.3 / 11.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-130.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.14 (1.9%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.09%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$118.03 / $110.58Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$110.88 / $115.16Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.09%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.16xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.48Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$101.5Range

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