US stock / ETF

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.

SWK · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish72%
4h Downside probability 72%Bearish

SWK 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $87.77 and stabilize above resistance $95.16.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $95.16 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 46.5, MACD 0.123

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.15 (1.32%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$87.11Bullish
EMA 21$87.77Bearish
EMA 50$88.13Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.5 · MACD 0.123

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $1.15 · BB 5.62%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 50.0 · OBV -111.49%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$85.05 - $95.16

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.24% · 7.7 ATR above latest close

$96.31
Nearest resistance

+8.92% · 6.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$95.16
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$87.37
Nearest support

-2.66% · 2.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$85.05
Deeper support zone

-3.98% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

$83.9
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$86.22 - $88.52

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $85.6, invalidation $88.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.2 / 49.7 / 21.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$83.48Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$88.26 / $89.49Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

43%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.15 (1.32%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.62%

53%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$90.31 / $85.12Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$86.22 / $88.52Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$95.16Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$85.05Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.123Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

50.9 / 56.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-49.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

3.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-111.49%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.60xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $85.6, invalidation $88.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.2 / 49.7 / 21.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$83.48Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$88.26 / $89.49Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

43%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.123Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

50.9 / 56.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-49.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

3.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.15 (1.32%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.62%

53%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$90.31 / $85.12Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$86.22 / $88.52Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-111.49%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.60xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$95.16Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$85.05Range

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