US stock / ETF

Smurfit WestRock plc

SW · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish59%
Monthly Downside probability 59%Bearish

SW 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $43.5 and stabilize above resistance $56.99.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $56.99 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.1, MACD 0.118

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $7.19 (17.45%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$43.47Bearish
EMA 21$43.5Bearish
EMA 50$43.26Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.1 · MACD 0.118

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $7.19 · BB 31.96%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 55.8 · OBV -7.39%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$32.73 - $56.99

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+55.8% · 3.2 ATR above latest close

$64.17
Nearest resistance

+38.35% · 2.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$56.99
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$41.19
Nearest support

-20.54% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$32.73
Deeper support zone

-37.99% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$25.54
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$34 - $48.38

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $51.99, invalidation $35.53

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.7 / 25.0 / 20.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$19.32Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$44.47 / $41.91Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

41%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.19 (17.45%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 31.96%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$58.91 / $28.07Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$34 / $48.38Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$56.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$32.73Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.118Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

42.5 / 58.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-17.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.39%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.16xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $51.99, invalidation $35.53

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.7 / 25.0 / 20.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$19.32Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$44.47 / $41.91Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

41%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.118Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

42.5 / 58.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-17.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.19 (17.45%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 31.96%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$58.91 / $28.07Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$34 / $48.38Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.39%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.16xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$56.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$32.73Range

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