Cryptocurrency

SpaceX (bStocks) / TetherUS

SPCXBUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish65%
4h Downside probability 65%Bearish

SPCXBUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 140.74 and stabilize above resistance 148.41.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 148.41 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.9, MACD -0.466

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is 3.59 (2.56%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8140.96Bearish
EMA 21140.74Bearish
EMA 50139.36Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.9 · MACD -0.466

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 3.59 · BB 6.68%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 30.6 · OBV -11.00%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
133.25 - 148.41

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.35% · 3.3 ATR above latest close

152
Nearest resistance

+5.8% · 2.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

148.41
Current price

Price shown is delayed

140.28
Nearest support

-5.01% · 2.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

133.25
Deeper support zone

-7.57% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

129.66
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

136.69 - 143.87

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 147.54, invalidation 137.45

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.8 / 24.0 / 25.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

129.86Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

141.56 / 134.48Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

30%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

3.59 (2.56%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.68%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

147.83 / 133.77Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

136.69 / 143.87Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

148.41Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

133.25Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.466Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

30.0 / 33.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-64.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-11.00%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.86xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 147.54, invalidation 137.45

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.8 / 24.0 / 25.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

129.86Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

141.56 / 134.48Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

30%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.466Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

30.0 / 33.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-64.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

3.59 (2.56%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.68%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

147.83 / 133.77Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

136.69 / 143.87Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-11.00%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.86xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

148.41Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

133.25Range

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