Cryptocurrency

SpaceX (bStocks) / TetherUS

SPCXBUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish76%
4h Downside probability 76%Bearish

SPCXBUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $162.78 and stabilize above resistance $181.72.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $181.72 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.6, MACD 0.159

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $7.8 (5.04%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$157.01Bearish
EMA 21$162.78Bearish
EMA 50$170.95Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.6 · MACD 0.159

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $7.8 · BB 25.89%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 50.6 · OBV 34.19%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$147.09 - $181.72

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+22.42% · 4.4 ATR above latest close

$189.52
Nearest resistance

+17.38% · 3.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$181.72
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$154.82
Nearest support

-4.99% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$147.09
Deeper support zone

-10.03% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$139.29
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$147.02 - $162.62

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $165.3, invalidation $153.32

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

59.6 / 12.1 / 31.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$135.55Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$160.33 / $186.39Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.8 (5.04%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 25.89%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$176.54 / $148.16Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$147.02 / $162.62Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$181.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$147.09Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.159Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.5 / 28.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-48.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

34.19%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.83xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $165.3, invalidation $153.32

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

59.6 / 12.1 / 31.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$135.55Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$160.33 / $186.39Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.159Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.5 / 28.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-48.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.8 (5.04%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 25.89%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$176.54 / $148.16Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$147.02 / $162.62Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

34.19%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.83xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$181.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$147.09Range

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