Cryptocurrency

Polygon Ecosystem Token / TetherUS

POLUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish91%
4h Downside probability 91%Bearish

POLUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $0.07746 and stabilize above resistance $0.08404.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $0.08404 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 24.0, MACD -0.001

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $0.001876 (2.61%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$0.07575Bearish
EMA 21$0.07746Bearish
EMA 50$0.07805Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 24.0 · MACD -0.001

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.001876 · BB 11.12%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 26.2 · OBV -27.33%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$0.07120 - $0.08404

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+19.63% · 7.5 ATR above latest close

$0.08592
Nearest resistance

+17.01% · 6.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$0.08404
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$0.07182
Nearest support

-0.86% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$0.07120
Deeper support zone

-3.48% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$0.06932
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$0.06994 - $0.07370

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $0.07586, invalidation $0.07835

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.9 / 12.6 / 38.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$0.06804Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$0.07587 / $0.07762Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.001876 (2.61%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.12%

-23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$0.08085 / $0.07394Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$0.06994 / $0.07370Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$0.08404Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$0.07120Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

24.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.001Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.5 / 7.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-235.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-27.33%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.72xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $0.07586, invalidation $0.07835

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.9 / 12.6 / 38.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$0.06804Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$0.07587 / $0.07762Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

24.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.001Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.5 / 7.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-235.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.001876 (2.61%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.12%

-23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$0.08085 / $0.07394Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$0.06994 / $0.07370Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-27.33%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.72xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$0.08404Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$0.07120Range

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