Cryptocurrency

MEGA / TetherUS

MEGAUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

MEGAUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 0.0466 and stabilize above resistance 0.0530.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 0.0530 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.7, MACD -0.000

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is 0.002044 (4.59%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 80.0453Bearish
EMA 210.0466Bearish
EMA 500.0474Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.7 · MACD -0.000

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 0.002044 · BB 23.70%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 45.7 · OBV 1.65%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
0.0424 - 0.0530

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+23.72% · 5.2 ATR above latest close

0.0550
Nearest resistance

+19.13% · 4.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

0.0530
Current price

Price shown is delayed

0.0445
Nearest support

-4.61% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

0.0424
Deeper support zone

-9.2% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

0.0404
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

0.0424 - 0.0465

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.0424, invalidation 0.0473

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.4 / 13.1 / 32.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

0.0385Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.0463 / 0.0477Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

0.002044 (4.59%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.70%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.0506 / 0.0425Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.0424 / 0.0465Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

0.0530Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.0424Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.000Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

23.2 / 29.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-76.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-76.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.65%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.45xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.0424, invalidation 0.0473

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.4 / 13.1 / 32.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

0.0385Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.0463 / 0.0477Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.000Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

23.2 / 29.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-76.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-76.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

0.002044 (4.59%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.70%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.0506 / 0.0425Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.0424 / 0.0465Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.65%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.45xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

0.0530Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.0424Range

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