Cryptocurrency

MEGA / TetherUS

MEGAUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish87%
4h Downside probability 87%Bearish

MEGAUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $0.05449 and stabilize above resistance $0.05985.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $0.05985 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 31.0, MACD -0.001

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $0.002886 (5.92%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$0.05275Bearish
EMA 21$0.05449Bearish
EMA 50$0.05550Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 31.0 · MACD -0.001

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.002886 · BB 15.83%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 40.3 · OBV -348.81%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$0.04829 - $0.05985

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+28.58% · 4.8 ATR above latest close

$0.06274
Nearest resistance

+22.67% · 3.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$0.05985
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$0.04879
Nearest support

-1.02% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$0.04829
Deeper support zone

-6.94% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

$0.04540
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$0.04590 - $0.05168

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $0.05742, invalidation $0.05107

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.0 / 17.9 / 31.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$0.04057Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$0.05333 / $0.05985Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$0.002886 (5.92%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.83%

-21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$0.06034 / $0.04848Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$0.04590 / $0.05168Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$0.05985Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$0.04829Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.001Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.5 / 10.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-272.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-348.81%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.06xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $0.05742, invalidation $0.05107

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.0 / 17.9 / 31.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$0.04057Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$0.05333 / $0.05985Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.001Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.5 / 10.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-272.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$0.002886 (5.92%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.83%

-21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$0.06034 / $0.04848Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$0.04590 / $0.05168Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-348.81%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.06xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$0.05985Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$0.04829Range

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