Cryptocurrency

MEGA / TetherUS

MEGAUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

MEGAUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 0.0378 and stabilize above resistance 0.0447.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 0.0447 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.1, MACD -0.000

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is 0.0008821 (2.41%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 80.0370Bearish
EMA 210.0378Bearish
EMA 500.0385Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.1 · MACD -0.000

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 0.0008821 · BB 7.70%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 48.8 · OBV -32.44%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
0.0360 - 0.0447

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+24.4% · 10.1 ATR above latest close

0.0455
Nearest resistance

+21.99% · 9.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

0.0447
Current price

Price shown is delayed

0.0366
Nearest support

-1.67% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

0.0360
Deeper support zone

-4.08% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

0.0351
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

0.0357 - 0.0375

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.0360, invalidation 0.0387

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.6 / 13.6 / 15.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

0.0347Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.0386 / 0.0403Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

0.0008821 (2.41%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.70%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.0389 / 0.0365Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.0357 / 0.0375Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

0.0447Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.0360Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.000Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.3 / 26.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.7Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-132.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-32.44%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.32xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.0360, invalidation 0.0387

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.6 / 13.6 / 15.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

0.0347Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.0386 / 0.0403Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.000Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.3 / 26.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.7Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-132.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

0.0008821 (2.41%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.70%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.0389 / 0.0365Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.0357 / 0.0375Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-32.44%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.32xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

0.0447Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.0360Range

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