US stock / ETF

Eli Lilly & Co.

LLY · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish84%
4h Downside probability 84%Bearish

LLY 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,214.7 and stabilize above resistance $1,292.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,292 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 32.4, MACD -8.658

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $14.06 (1.2%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$1,192.9Bearish
EMA 21$1,214.7Bearish
EMA 50$1,217.3Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 32.4 · MACD -8.658

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $14.06 · BB 10.10%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 21.5 · OBV -10.74%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$1,171.7 - $1,292

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.1% · 9.3 ATR above latest close

$1,306.1
Nearest resistance

+9.9% · 8.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,292
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,175.6
Nearest support

-0.33% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,171.7
Deeper support zone

-1.52% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$1,157.6
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,161.5 - $1,189.6

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,239.3, invalidation $1,235.8

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.3 / 10.2 / 36.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,131.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,218.2 / $1,227.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$14.06 (1.2%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.10%

9%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,243.5 / $1,184.2Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,161.5 / $1,189.6Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,292Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,171.7Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.658Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.1 / 4.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-129.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.74%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.49xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,239.3, invalidation $1,235.8

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.3 / 10.2 / 36.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,131.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,218.2 / $1,227.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.658Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.1 / 4.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-129.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$14.06 (1.2%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.10%

9%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,243.5 / $1,184.2Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,161.5 / $1,189.6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.74%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.49xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,292Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,171.7Range

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