US stock / ETF

Federal Realty Investment Trust

FRT · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish80%
4h Downside probability 80%Bearish

FRT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $117.51 and stabilize above resistance $119.77.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $119.77 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.1, MACD 0.012

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.5694 (0.49%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$117.33Bearish
EMA 21$117.51Bearish
EMA 50$118.43Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.1 · MACD 0.012

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.5694 · BB 1.78%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 39.9 · OBV -6.46%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$116.15 - $119.77

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.92% · 6.0 ATR above latest close

$120.34
Nearest resistance

+2.44% · 5.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$119.77
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$116.92
Nearest support

-0.66% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$116.15
Deeper support zone

-1.15% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$115.58
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$116.35 - $117.49

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $118.33, invalidation $116.62

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.0 / 22.6 / 30.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$115.41Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$117.59 / $118.98Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.5694 (0.49%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.78%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$118.5 / $116.49Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$116.35 / $117.49Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$119.77Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$116.15Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.012Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.5 / 33.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-89.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.46%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.88xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $118.33, invalidation $116.62

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.0 / 22.6 / 30.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$115.41Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$117.59 / $118.98Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.012Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.5 / 33.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-89.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.5694 (0.49%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.78%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$118.5 / $116.49Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$116.35 / $117.49Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.46%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.88xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$119.77Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$116.15Range

Related Forecasts