US stock / ETF

FedEx Corporation

FDX · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish81%
Weekly Downside probability 81%Bearish

FDX 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $333.55 and stabilize above resistance $413.87.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $413.87 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.5, MACD -5.046

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $24.03 (7.39%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$324.65Bullish
EMA 21$333.55Bearish
EMA 50$319.89Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.5 · MACD -5.046

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $24.03 · BB 39.66%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 43.7 · OBV -5.98%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$287.75 - $413.87

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+34.71% · 4.7 ATR above latest close

$437.9
Nearest resistance

+27.31% · 3.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$413.87
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$325.08
Nearest support

-11.48% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$287.75
Deeper support zone

-18.88% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$263.72
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$301.05 - $349.11

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $303, invalidation $322.13

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.4 / 17.5 / 32.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$281.75Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$340.39 / $317.59Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$24.03 (7.39%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 39.66%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$366.51 / $300.38Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$301.05 / $349.11Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$413.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$287.75Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.046Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.9 / 20.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-38.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.98%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.84xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $303, invalidation $322.13

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.4 / 17.5 / 32.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$281.75Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$340.39 / $317.59Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.046Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.9 / 20.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-38.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$24.03 (7.39%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 39.66%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$366.51 / $300.38Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$301.05 / $349.11Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.98%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.84xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$413.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$287.75Range

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