US stock / ETF

Deere & Company

DE · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish67%
4h Downside probability 67%Bearish

DE 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $606.59 and stabilize above resistance $643.99.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $643.99 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.4, MACD -0.663

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $7.95 (1.31%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$603.12Bullish
EMA 21$606.59Bearish
EMA 50$606.64Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.4 · MACD -0.663

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $7.95 · BB 9.94%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 17.9 · OBV 13.60%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$590.06 - $643.99

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.75% · 5.9 ATR above latest close

$651.94
Nearest resistance

+6.43% · 4.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$643.99
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$605.06
Nearest support

-2.48% · 1.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$590.06
Deeper support zone

-3.79% · 2.9 ATR below latest close

$582.11
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$597.11 - $613.01

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $616.23, invalidation $590.63

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.4 / 23.7 / 27.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$583.47Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$610.23 / $611.49Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$7.95 (1.31%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.94%

40%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$620.81 / $592.03Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$597.11 / $613.01Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$643.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$590.06Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.663Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

49.3 / 43.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-50.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-32.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

17.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

13.60%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.08xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $616.23, invalidation $590.63

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.4 / 23.7 / 27.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$583.47Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$610.23 / $611.49Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.663Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

49.3 / 43.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-50.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-32.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$7.95 (1.31%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.94%

40%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$620.81 / $592.03Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$597.11 / $613.01Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

17.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

13.60%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.08xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$643.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$590.06Range

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