Cryptocurrency

Arbitrum / TetherUS

ARBUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

ARBUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 0.1850 and stabilize above resistance 0.2041.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 0.2041 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.2, MACD -0.001

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is 0.005950 (3.32%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 80.1817Bearish
EMA 210.1850Bearish
EMA 500.1873Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.2 · MACD -0.001

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 0.005950 · BB 11.39%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 40.7 · OBV -7.20%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
0.1750 - 0.2041

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+17.08% · 5.2 ATR above latest close

0.2101
Nearest resistance

+13.77% · 4.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

0.2041
Current price

Price shown is delayed

0.1794
Nearest support

-2.45% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

0.1750
Deeper support zone

-5.77% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

0.1690
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

0.1734 - 0.1854

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.1776, invalidation 0.1858

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.7 / 10.1 / 29.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

0.1639Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.1856 / 0.1876Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

0.005950 (3.32%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.39%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.1950 / 0.1746Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.1734 / 0.1854Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

0.2041Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.1750Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.001Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

14.7 / 15.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-85.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-99.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.20%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.12xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.1776, invalidation 0.1858

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.7 / 10.1 / 29.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

0.1639Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.1856 / 0.1876Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.001Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

14.7 / 15.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-85.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-99.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

0.005950 (3.32%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.39%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.1950 / 0.1746Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.1734 / 0.1854Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.20%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.12xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

0.2041Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.1750Range

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