Cryptocurrency

Arbitrum / TetherUS

ARBUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

ARBUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 0.1551 and stabilize above resistance 0.1880.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 0.1880 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 30.8, MACD -0.001

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is 0.005336 (3.73%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 80.1487Bearish
EMA 210.1551Bearish
EMA 500.1604Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 30.8 · MACD -0.001

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 0.005336 · BB 19.91%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 27.3 · OBV -260.77%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
0.1416 - 0.1880

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+35.2% · 9.4 ATR above latest close

0.1933
Nearest resistance

+31.47% · 8.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

0.1880
Current price

Price shown is delayed

0.1430
Nearest support

-0.98% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

0.1416
Deeper support zone

-4.71% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

0.1363
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

0.1377 - 0.1483

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.1424, invalidation 0.1636

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.2 / 15.5 / 33.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

0.1289Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.1576 / 0.1648Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

0.005336 (3.73%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.91%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.1649 / 0.1447Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.1377 / 0.1483Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

0.1880Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.1416Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

30.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.001Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.1 / 16.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-121.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-260.77%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.48xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.1424, invalidation 0.1636

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.2 / 15.5 / 33.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

0.1289Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.1576 / 0.1648Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

30.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.001Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.1 / 16.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-121.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

0.005336 (3.73%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.91%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.1649 / 0.1447Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.1377 / 0.1483Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-260.77%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.48xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

0.1880Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.1416Range

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