Cryptocurrency

Arbitrum / TetherUS

ARBUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish85%
4h Downside probability 85%Bearish

ARBUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $0.07972 and stabilize above resistance $0.08700.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $0.08700 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 34.9, MACD -0.001

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $0.002171 (2.85%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$0.07727Bearish
EMA 21$0.07972Bearish
EMA 50$0.08195Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 34.9 · MACD -0.001

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.002171 · BB 16.33%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 16.4 · OBV -21.88%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$0.07270 - $0.08700

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+17.02% · 6.0 ATR above latest close

$0.08917
Nearest resistance

+14.17% · 5.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$0.08700
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$0.07620
Nearest support

-4.59% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$0.07270
Deeper support zone

-7.44% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$0.07053
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$0.07403 - $0.07837

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $0.08700, invalidation $0.07670

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.7 / 4.9 / 45.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$0.06878Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$0.07825 / $0.08130Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.002171 (2.85%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.33%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$0.08396 / $0.07520Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$0.07403 / $0.07837Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$0.08700Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$0.07270Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.001Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

28.0 / 14.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.0Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-112.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

16.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-21.88%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.38xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $0.08700, invalidation $0.07670

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.7 / 4.9 / 45.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$0.06878Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$0.07825 / $0.08130Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.001Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

28.0 / 14.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.0Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-112.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.002171 (2.85%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.33%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$0.08396 / $0.07520Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$0.07403 / $0.07837Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

16.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-21.88%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.38xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$0.08700Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$0.07270Range

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