Cryptocurrency

Arbitrum / TetherUS

ARBUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish63%
4h Downside probability 63%Bearish

ARBUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 0.1454 and stabilize above resistance 0.1787.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 0.1787 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.8, MACD 0.000

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is 0.005379 (3.87%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 80.1413Bearish
EMA 210.1454Bearish
EMA 500.1464Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.8 · MACD 0.000

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 0.005379 · BB 10.35%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 61.9 · OBV -2.53%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
0.1374 - 0.1787

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+32.53% · 8.4 ATR above latest close

0.1841
Nearest resistance

+28.65% · 7.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

0.1787
Current price

Price shown is delayed

0.1389
Nearest support

-1.08% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

0.1374
Deeper support zone

-4.95% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

0.1320
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

0.1335 - 0.1443

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.1464, invalidation 0.1388

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.1 / 21.1 / 14.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

0.1284Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.1490 / 0.1678Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

0.005379 (3.87%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.35%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.1535 / 0.1367Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.1335 / 0.1443Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

0.1787Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.1374Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.000Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.3 / 20.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-89.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.53%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.50xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.1464, invalidation 0.1388

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.1 / 21.1 / 14.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

0.1284Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.1490 / 0.1678Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.000Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.3 / 20.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-89.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

0.005379 (3.87%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.35%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.1535 / 0.1367Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.1335 / 0.1443Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.53%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.50xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

0.1787Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.1374Range

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