US stock / ETF

Apollo Global Management, Inc.

APO · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish72%
4h Downside probability 72%Bearish

APO 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $128 and stabilize above resistance $138.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $138 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.7, MACD -0.058

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.89 (1.49%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$126.47Bullish
EMA 21$128Bearish
EMA 50$130.08Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.7 · MACD -0.058

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.89 · BB 6.50%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 28.5 · OBV 3.37%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$122.72 - $138

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+9.89% · 6.7 ATR above latest close

$139.89
Nearest resistance

+8.41% · 5.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$138
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$127.3
Nearest support

-3.6% · 2.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$122.72
Deeper support zone

-5.08% · 3.4 ATR below latest close

$120.83
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$125.41 - $129.19

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $129, invalidation $122.72

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.8 / 37.2 / 30.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$120.88Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$127.34 / $130.36Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.89 (1.49%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.50%

43%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$132.09 / $123.68Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$125.41 / $129.19Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$138Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$122.72Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.058Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

62.9 / 29.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-37.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-49.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.37%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.09xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $129, invalidation $122.72

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.8 / 37.2 / 30.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$120.88Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$127.34 / $130.36Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.058Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

62.9 / 29.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-37.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-49.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.89 (1.49%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.50%

43%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$132.09 / $123.68Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$125.41 / $129.19Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.37%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.09xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$138Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$122.72Range

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