US stock / ETF

Align Technology, Inc.

ALGN · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBearish77%
3M Downside probability 77%Bearish

ALGN 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $243.14 and stabilize above resistance $737.45.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $737.45 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.9, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $69.89 (45.29%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$172.7Bearish
EMA 21$243.14Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.9 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $69.89 · BB 138.93%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 25.2 · OBV -54.73%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$122 - $737.45

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+423.19% · 9.3 ATR above latest close

$807.34
Nearest resistance

+377.9% · 8.3 ATR above · 30-bar high

$737.45
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$154.31
Nearest support

-20.94% · 0.5 ATR below · 30-bar low

$122
Deeper support zone

-66.23% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$52.11
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$84.42 - $224.2

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $122, invalidation $200.44

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.4 / 11.4 / 27.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$16.71Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$309.42 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$69.89 (45.29%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 138.93%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$346.77 / $128.5Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$84.42 / $224.2Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$737.45Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$122Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.1 / 11.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-91.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-54.73%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.22xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $122, invalidation $200.44

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.4 / 11.4 / 27.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$16.71Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$309.42 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.1 / 11.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-91.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$69.89 (45.29%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 138.93%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$346.77 / $128.5Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$84.42 / $224.2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-54.73%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.22xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$737.45Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$122Range

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