US stock / ETF

Align Technology, Inc.

ALGN · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBearish69%
3M Downside probability 69%Bearish

ALGN 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $299.78 and stabilize above resistance $736.86.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $736.86 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 44.7, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $82.27 (46.11%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$190.89Bearish
EMA 21$299.78Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.7 · MACD --

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $82.27 · BB 206.15%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 45.4 · OBV -64.07%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$122.45 - $736.86

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+359.12% · 7.8 ATR above latest close

$819.13
Nearest resistance

+313% · 6.8 ATR above · 24-bar high

$736.86
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$178.42
Nearest support

-31.37% · 0.7 ATR below · 24-bar low

$122.45
Deeper support zone

-77.48% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$40.18
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$96.14 - $260.69

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $122.45, invalidation $208.31

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$20.45Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$82.27 (46.11%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 206.15%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$421.02 / $158.72Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$96.14 / $260.69Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$736.86Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$122.45Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.3 / 15.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-72.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-64.07%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.80xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $122.45, invalidation $208.31

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$20.45Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.3 / 15.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-72.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$82.27 (46.11%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 206.15%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$421.02 / $158.72Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$96.14 / $260.69Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-64.07%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.80xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$736.86Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$122.45Range

Related Forecasts