US stock / ETF

Align Technology, Inc.

ALGN · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBearish77%
3M Downside probability 77%Bearish

ALGN 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $252.42 and stabilize above resistance $737.45.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $737.45 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.5, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $74.7 (49.89%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$178.92Bearish
EMA 21$252.42Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.5 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $74.7 · BB 186.81%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 31.9 · OBV -69.32%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$122 - $737.45

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+442.48% · 8.9 ATR above latest close

$812.15
Nearest resistance

+392.59% · 7.9 ATR above · 29-bar high

$737.45
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$149.71
Nearest support

-18.51% · 0.4 ATR below · 29-bar low

$122
Deeper support zone

-68.4% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$47.3
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$75.01 - $224.41

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $122, invalidation $200.44

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.1 / 10.7 / 25.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$17.72Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$311.17 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$74.7 (49.89%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 186.81%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$371.23 / $122.41Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$75.01 / $224.41Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$737.45Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$122Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.5 / 14.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-80.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-69.32%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.65xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $122, invalidation $200.44

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.1 / 10.7 / 25.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$17.72Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$311.17 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.5 / 14.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-80.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$74.7 (49.89%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 186.81%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$371.23 / $122.41Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$75.01 / $224.41Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-69.32%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.65xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$737.45Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$122Range

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