US stock / ETF

Align Technology, Inc.

ALGN · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBearish66%
3M Downside probability 66%Bearish

ALGN 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $254.59 and stabilize above resistance $737.45.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $737.45 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 48.1, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $73.42 (42.28%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$184.24Bearish
EMA 21$254.59Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.1 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $73.42 · BB 184.46%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 34.6 · OBV -43.17%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$122 - $737.45

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+366.93% · 8.7 ATR above latest close

$810.87
Nearest resistance

+324.65% · 7.7 ATR above · 29-bar high

$737.45
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$173.66
Nearest support

-29.75% · 0.7 ATR below · 29-bar low

$122
Deeper support zone

-72.02% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$48.58
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$100.24 - $247.08

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $200.44, invalidation $151.58

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.1 / 10.9 / 24.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$3.38Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$311.17 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$73.42 (42.28%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 184.46%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$369.92 / $128.27Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$100.24 / $247.08Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$737.45Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$122Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.7 / 16.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-70.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-43.17%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.37xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $200.44, invalidation $151.58

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.1 / 10.9 / 24.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$3.38Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$311.17 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.7 / 16.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-70.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$73.42 (42.28%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 184.46%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$369.92 / $128.27Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$100.24 / $247.08Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-43.17%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.37xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$737.45Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$122Range

Related Forecasts