US stock / ETF

American Electric Power Company, Inc.

AEP · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish76%
4h Downside probability 76%Bearish

AEP 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $122.34 and stabilize above resistance $126.2.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $126.2 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.5, MACD -0.142

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.04 (0.86%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$121.45Bullish
EMA 21$122.34Bearish
EMA 50$123.17Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.5 · MACD -0.142

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.04 · BB 3.98%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 58.5 · OBV 0.55%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$120.15 - $126.2

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.62% · 5.4 ATR above latest close

$127.24
Nearest resistance

+3.76% · 4.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$126.2
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$121.62
Nearest support

-1.21% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$120.15
Deeper support zone

-2.07% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$119.11
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$120.58 - $122.66

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $120.59, invalidation $122.78

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.6 / 12.2 / 26.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$118.26Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$122.32 / $123.18Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.04 (0.86%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.98%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$124.17 / $120.4Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$120.58 / $122.66Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$126.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$120.15Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.142Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

34.4 / 19.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-65.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-79.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.55%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

4.20xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $120.59, invalidation $122.78

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.6 / 12.2 / 26.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$118.26Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$122.32 / $123.18Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.142Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

34.4 / 19.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-65.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-79.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.04 (0.86%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.98%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$124.17 / $120.4Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$120.58 / $122.66Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.55%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

4.20xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$126.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$120.15Range

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